김수석 박석두 채광석 김창호 황연수 조가옥 2018-11-15T08:21:39Z 2018-11-15T08:21:39Z 2008-11 R563 http://repository.krei.re.kr/handle/2018.oak/15358 농업을 둘러싼 대내외 여건의 변화에 따라 농지제도의 새로운 역할이 요구되고 있지만, 현행 농지제도는 이러한 시대적 요청에 잘 부응하지 못하고 있다. 이 연구는 바람직한 농지제도의 청사진을 도출하기 위한 사전작업으로서 현행 농지제도의 운용 실태와 영농현장에서의 농지이용 실태를 조사·분석하였다. 또한 농지이용의 경제성을 분석하였다. 여기에 나타난 연구결과는 농지제도의 개편이 필요하다는 사실을 보여주고 있다. 한마디로 제도가 현실을 규율하지 못하고, 원칙과 현실 간의 괴리가 심화되고 있다. 이 연구는 농지제도 개편의 필요성을 입증한 성과를 거두었다고 판단된다. 이를 기초로 제2차연도에는 농업의 새로운 경제질서를 위한 시안으로 새로운 농지제도가 제시될 것이다. 즉 제도와 현실 간의 괴리를 없애고 현실을 규율할 수 있는 제도를 모색하고, 대내외 농업여건의 변화에 부응하는 체계적인 농지제도가 제시될 것이다. 결국 이 연구는 제2차연도 연구를 위한 사전연구의 성격을 띠고 있다. Although the current farmland system is asked to play a new role due to circumstantial changes surrounding the Korean agriculture, the farmland system has not worked properly to respond to the demand. As a preliminary step to derive at a blueprint for an ideal farmland system next year, this study investigated today's operational status of the farmland system and on-the-field usage of farmland, and analyzed the economic efficiency of land usage. By using the land usage classification we designed for the study, we selected three counties (the administrative districts of "ri"), each of which is composed of several villages, for case study and investigated the whole farmland in the areas. According to our investigation, it was shown that 19~33% of the sampled farmland were illegally owned and 42~57% were illegally leased. During the last 10 years, the number of farms cultivated directly by landowners decreased whereas leased farming increased. Most farmers in the sampled areas had a plan to retire or shrink the size of farming rather than expand their business in the future. An analysis on the economic efficiency of land usage showed that the rent payment capability of tenant farmers increased as business size grew bigger. Accordingly, the increase in land usage efficiency would work as an incentive for a small farm to become a large farm with more than 3ha of farmland. In a net present value analysis, too, we found that the increase of farmland by leasing is more efficient than the farmland increase through purchase because the expected profit from buying farmland is smaller than the opportunity cost. According to the Granger causality test, the farmland price in suburban areas has a Granger causality relation for rent whereas the rent in plain fields has a Granger causality relation for farmland price. We also estimated the amount of farmland needed for 2020. According to the estimation which was made through the KREI-ASMO model, it is found that if today's changing trends in the size of arable land and the land being cultivated continue (assuming that the DDA and the Korea-US FTA do not go into effect), the necessary farmland in 2020 would be 1,564 thousand ha. As for the demand of land for city and industry complex development under the 4th Land Reconstruction Plan for the 2000~2020 period, the necessary land would amount to 385 thousand ha. Meanwhile, the land available for development is estimated at 816 thousand ha (138 thousand ha farmland and 678 thousand ha non-farmland), which is a sufficient supply regardless of whichever scenario is applied for the future demand. Even in the Seoul metropolitan region where the demand for development is high and the supply is limited due to development restrictions, it was found that there would be no problem in supplying necessary land. Researchers: Kim, Soo-Suk; Park, Seok-Doo; Chae, Gwang-Seok; Kim, Chang-Ho; Hwang, Yeon-Su; Cho, Ga-Ok E-mail address: soosuk@krei.re.kr 서론 농지제도의 여건 변화와 과제 농지소유 및 임대차 실태 농지이용의 구조와 경제성 분석 농지수급 분석 농지보전 및 전용제도의 운용실태 요약 및 결론 한국농촌경제연구원 경제·사회여건 변화에 따른 농지제도 개편방안(1/2차연도) A Study on Reforming the Farmland System to Better Reflect Socio-Economic Changes KREI 보고서 Kim, Soosuk Park, Seokdoo Chae, Gwangseok Kim, Changho