전상곤 정민국 신승열 2018-11-15T08:45:41Z 2018-11-15T08:45:41Z 2003-07 RE26-2-7 http://repository.krei.re.kr/handle/2018.oak/17869 Abstract The purpose of this paper is to show the sampling method in livestock outlook and the forecasting models, particularly focusing on Korean-cattle outlook. Sampling technique of the livestock farmers is explained in detail, according to statistical theory. And an example is introduced how to analyze the results of the survey. The Korean-cattle forecasting models which have been used for this outlook are illustrated. The production function of calf and slaughter function of cattle, each breeding stock function are estimated. To strengthen the quality of outlook information, it is necessary to interpret the indexes of farmers' intention dynamically. Consideration of such indexes in the forecasting are introduced in the latter part. 목 차 1. 한육우 관측사업 개요 2. 표본농가 조사 및 분석방법 3. 한육우 관측 모형 4. 향후 과제 Abstract The purpose of this paper is to show the sampling method in livestock outlook and the forecasting models, particularly focusing on Korean-cattle outlook. Sampling technique of the livestock farmers is explained in detail, according to statistical theory. And an example is introduced how to analyze the results of the survey. The Korean-cattle forecasting models which have been used for this outlook are illustrated. The production function of calf and slaughter function of cattle, each breeding stock function are estimated. To strengthen the quality of outlook information, it is necessary to interpret the indexes of farmers' intention dynamically. Consideration of such indexes in the forecasting are introduced in the latter part. KREI 한육우 관측사업의 조사방법과 추정모형 Survey Method of Korean-Cattle Farmers and the Forecasting Models in Korean-Cattle Oultook KREI 논문 Jeon, Sanggon Jeong, Minkook Shin, Seungyoull