FTA 협상에 따른 가공식품 및 식품·외식업계에 미치는 영향 분석

Abstract

FTA results in a huge change in the environment of the food processing and service industry in Korea. However. even though lots of research and discussion have been conducted to measure the impact of Korea-US FTA on Korean agriculture, little research was conducted to evaluate the effect of FTA on the Korean food processing and service industry. The main goal of this study is to verview the current situation of the food processing industry and/or food service industry in Korea and other major countries, and to evaluate the impact of the Korea-U.S. FTA on the Korean food processing and service industry. The study starts our discussion with on analysis about the current status of food processing industry and/or food service industry in Korea, the United States, China, Australia, and the European Union and an overview of the trade between Korea and these countries. Then, after the discussion about the Korea-U.S. FTA and DDA for opening the Korean market of food processing industry, we evaluate the impact of the Korea-U.S. FTA on the Korean food processing and service industry. For more specific discussions, we conducted numerical simulation analysis to measure the effect of the Korea-U.S. FTA on the Korean cheese and butter industry. The results of the numerical analysis present that the Korea-U.S. FTA will cause a decrease in the sales of Korean cheese and butter. Due to the shortage of raw-data for econometric estimation, the results of the simulation are limited. However, this study, which is one of the first studies measuring the impact of the Korea-U.S. FTA on Korea food processing industry, may be the baseline for further research and discussion.