과실 수입 파급영향 분석과 대응방안

영문 제목
An Analysis of the Effect of Fruit Imports in Korea
저자
김경필이원진박재홍박미성
출판년도
2006-02
초록
This study aims to estimate the impact of fruit imports on Korean fruit industry and to suggest the strategies to cope with the opening of the Korean fruit market. The items analyzed in this research are apple, pear, mandarine, grape, peach and sweet persimmon. The Korea Rural Economic Institute-Commodity Model 2005(KREI-COMO 2005) was utilized to estimate the effect. The analyzed period is from 2008 to 2017(For 10 years). In case of permitting fruit imports in the year of 2012, the production value of apple, pear and mandarine will respectively decrease by 57 percent, 42 percent, 32 percent in comparison with their production values of maintaining import prohibition in 2017. At the same condition, the production value of grape and peach will decrease by 11 percent, 8 percent respectively. In summary, it turns out that the amount of damage of apple, pear and mandarine is larger than that of grape and peach. Therefore, the items such as apple, pear, and mandarine must be pursued high standard restructuring. Also, In order to secure restructuring period, these items should be treated as sensitive products on the negotiation of DDA and FTA. And, if the price and the amount of income go down rapidly, Income Safety-Net Program should be introduced.Researchers: Kim Kyung-Phil, Lee Won-Jin, Park Jae-Hong, Park Mi-SungE-mail address: kkphil@krei.re.kr
This study aims to estimate the impact of fruit imports on Korean fruit industry and to suggest the strategies to cope with the opening of the Korean fruit market. The items analyzed in this research are apple, pear, mandarine, grape, peach and sweet persimmon. The Korea Rural Economic Institute-Commodity Model 2005(KREI-COMO 2005) was utilized to estimate the effect. The analyzed period is from 2008 to 2017(For 10 years). In case of permitting fruit imports in the year of 2012, the production value of apple, pear and mandarine will respectively decrease by 57 percent, 42 percent, 32 percent in comparison with their production values of maintaining import prohibition in 2017. At the same condition, the production value of grape and peach will decrease by 11 percent, 8 percent respectively. In summary, it turns out that the amount of damage of apple, pear and mandarine is larger than that of grape and peach. Therefore, the items such as apple, pear, and mandarine must be pursued high standard restructuring. Also, In order to secure restructuring period, these items should be treated as sensitive products on the negotiation of DDA and FTA. And, if the price and the amount of income go down rapidly, Income Safety-Net Program should be introduced.Researchers: Kim Kyung-Phil, Lee Won-Jin, Park Jae-Hong, Park Mi-SungE-mail address: kkphil@krei.re.kr
목차
제1장 서 론 1. 연구의 배경 및 필요성 1 2. 선행연구 검토 2 3. 연구 목적 5 4. 연구 범위 및 방법 6제2장 국내 과수산업 동향 1. 국내 수급 9 2. 농가 경영 21 3. 생산 구조 23 4. 관세와 식물검역 29제3장 주요국 수급 동향과 경쟁력 1. 주요국 수급동향 32 2. 경쟁력 분석 45제4장 과실 수입 파급영향 분석 1. 분석 모형과 개방 시나리오 67 2. 과실 수입 파급영향 분석 76제5장 대응 방안 1. 대응 기본방향 145 2. 구조조정 및 경영안정 147 3. 품질 및 가격경쟁력 150 4. 소비자 지향적인 제도 정비 157 5. 식물검역과 세이프가드(SG) 162 6. 향후 과제 168부록 1. 일본의 사과 수입 실태와 검역분쟁 사례 170부록 2. 사과·배 주산단지 우수사례 175참고문헌 180
발행처
한국농촌경제연구원
발간물 유형
KREI 보고서
URI
http://repository.krei.re.kr/handle/2018.oak/14955
Appears in Collections:
연구보고서 > 수탁보고서 (C)
Export
RIS (EndNote)
XLS (Excel)
XML
Files in This Item:
과실 수입 파급영향 분석과 대응방안.pdf (1.47 MB) Download

Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.

BROWSE