거시경제 여건 변화의 농가경제 영향과 대응 과제

Abstract

러시아 우크라이나 전쟁 등 국제 정세의 급격한 변화의 여파로 대내외 거시 경제의 불확실성이 증가하고 있음.

본 연구의 목적은 1) 농가 채산성을 나타내는 농가교역조건 실태를 살펴보고, 2) 대내외 거시변수 충격에 따른 농업교역조건의 변화를 분석한 후, 3) 농가경제와 농업부문 부가가치에 미치는 영향을 파악하고, 4) 중장기 관점에서 교역조건 개선을 위한 대응 과제를 도출하는 것임.

Purpose of Research ○The rapid changes in the international situation, such as the Russia-Ukraine war, have increased the uncertainty in both domestic and foreign macroeconomies. Limitations in oil supply and expansion in private consumption have led to rising international oil prices, and climate change, along with the crisis in the global supply chain, are causing an increase in international grain prices. Additionally, volatility in exchange rates, a major external macroeconomic factor, is also increasing. Thus, the recent rise in oil and grain prices and the worsening of the international situation are the primary causes of import price inflation. These factors are also significantly affecting the agricultural sector, leading to a decline in agricultural and livestock product prices, consequently decreasing farm incomes and deteriorating agricultural trade conditions.

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